25/05/2026
*📉 Why is there no return in the market for 2 years? And what will happen next? 🚀*
Investor friends 🙏
For the last two years, there has been no significant return in the market and there has been an overall recession. We all wonder why this is so? Currently, the market is experiencing instability due to factors like the tension of the war between Iran and America, the skyrocketing price of crude oil and the depreciation of the rupee. 🛢️💵
But, do we need to panic or stop investing due to this situation? Let's understand what the reality is with the figures: 📊
🔹 History of crude prices: High crude prices are not new to India, India has faced such high prices before. There was a big surge in crude in the year 2008, in the period from 2011 to 2014 and also during the Russia-Ukraine war.
🔹 Strength of the economy: Between FY 2012 and 2025, crude import costs have increased by 73%, but in the same period, India's GDP has grown by a whopping 279%.
🔹 Share in GDP has decreased: In FY 2012, crude imports were 7.7% of India's GDP, which has come down to just 3.5% today. Our resilience has increased!
🔹 Power and new alternatives: Today, 53% of India's installed electricity capacity is from non-conventional and renewable sources. We are reducing our dependence on crude oil.
🔹 Benefits of ethanol blending: India has saved a whopping ₹53,894 crore in foreign exchange by blending 10% ethanol in petrol.
What will happen next? A huge boom is in the offing! 📈✨
Today, we have larger foreign exchange reserves, a more diversified economy and growing renewable energy potential than we did in the 1991 crisis. The current market downturn and lack of returns that we have been experiencing for the past two years is just a temporary phase. Crude oil prices in the $90-$100 range are now comfortably manageable for the Indian economy.
I am of the firm opinion that this temporary volatility is followed by a huge boom in the market in the coming time. Temporary booms can create panic in the market, but India is better prepared to withstand such shocks than ever before.
So, instead of panicking over short-term news and closing your mutual funds or other investments, focus on long-term goals and continue investing. 🎯
I am always with you for proper planning of your financial future and investments. 🤝
Yours faithfully,
SAFAL FINSERV
Santosh Kumar sah
*(Mutual Fund Distributor & Authorized NPS PoP)*