03/07/2015
An excerpt from the SMH article 'Most important charts to watch in the new financial year':
Connor Grindlay, chief investment officer, Kaizen Capital
The world's central banks have printed record amounts of money and pumped it into the financial system. Yet, traditional inflation measures like the consumer price index (CPI) in many developed countries are close to 0 per cent. However, there is inflation in the system and this charts shows how US house prices have increased by over 30 per cent from their lows over the past 3 years. This is great news for industries exposed to this theme like banks and home builders, where we are invested internationally.
But, we must keep a close eye on global property inflation as house prices are rising rapidly everywhere (Australia - ex-mining towns - too). We all got into trouble in 2008 when house price bubbles burst in the UK, US etc. Remember that the key driver today is not smart house buying, but record low interest rates everywhere. Time to take some property profits off the table? We think so.