23/01/2026
๐ช๐ต๐ ๐ฑ๐ผ ๐บ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ณ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ? ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐๐ฒ ๐บ๐ผ๐๐ "๐๐ธ๐ถ๐น๐น" ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐น๐๐ฐ๐ธโฆ ๐ค
A nice article on why mutual fund outperformance is often more about luck than skill.
The latest research shows that a significant portion of what looks like a managerโs โtalentโ is actually randomness, and past winners often struggle to beat the market later on.
๐๐๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐จ:
๐ A large share of fund performance is driven by luck, not repeatable skill.
๐ Funds that attract assets after good years often find it harder to outperform later.
๐ Traditional star ratings can mislead by rewarding past results rather than future potential.
Worth a read if youโre interested in what drives fund performance - and what doesnโt.
Why do mutual funds underperform? New research from the University of Sydney reveals that at least 55% of fund performance is attributable to luck, not skill. Worse, luck actively predicts future underperformance: lucky funds attract inflows, grow too large, and lose their capacity to generate retur...