13/04/2026
"The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." — Warren Buffett
Last week, the global geopolitical landscape shifted from "boiling" to a "cautious simmer," and the markets reacted instantly. With the announcement of a temporary two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, the heavy "war premium" that has been weighing down global stocks finally started to evaporate. As the fear of a total energy blockade eased, investors have been given enough breathing room to move back into the green.
Those who stayed patient through the volatility were rewarded with one of the strongest relief rallies of the year. Here is a little re-cap:
America
The S&P 500 jumped 3.48% as investors traded their panic for a bit of hope, recording the best weekly return since November 2025. Most of the heavy lifting was done by the big tech firms, showing that the AI hype of last year is still around, even if it took a back-seat during the war.
Israel
The potential of return to business for a market that has been half functioning and barely sleeping produced a surge in the TLV-125, with returns of 5.54%. The big winners here were insurance and banks, with higher inflation meaning that interest rates are unlikely to drop soon.
Global Markets and Commodities
As mine-clearing operations began, the prospect of oil flowing freely again acted like a double shot of espresso for global trade. Oil prices that were spiraling out of control dropped significantly, while Asian markets in particular, so dependent on that oil that that arrives through the Strait of Hormuz, rallied. It remains to be seen what will play out this week however.
Gold had a volatile week, initially surging as inflation rising to 3.3% was announced, before "cooling-off" as investors realized the security blanket might not be so urgent. Demand is still high showing that it is seen as a safe-haven in unpredictable times.
Altogether, the markets are trying to be hopeful with the announcement of a ceasefire, but it's more cautious optimism than cause for celebration. More than ever, last week is a reminder that those who don't panic are often rewarded and especially in a time when investors jump at every White House tweet: "Time in the market beats timing the market".