18/07/2026
Two people.
Same investments, same average returns over twenty years.
One retires comfortably.
The other is forced back to work.
The only difference?
When the bad years hit.
The person who retires into a market crash faces something brutal: their portfolio drops 30% right when they need to start withdrawing money for living expenses.
Every withdrawal locks in the loss.
They're selling units at depressed prices just to cover groceries, utilities, insurance premiums. Those units never get a chance to recover because they're gone. The portfolio is permanently smaller. So when markets eventually bounce back, there's less capital left to grow.
The person who retired during good market years never faced that moment.
Same strategy. Same risk tolerance. Maybe even the same financial adviser.
Just better timing.
And you can't earn timing through discipline or intelligence.
The person who retires in a bad market has to make decisions nobody should face at 65. Go back to work? Sell the car? Cancel the trip they've been planning for years? Move to a smaller place? Watch their spouse worry every time a bill arrives?
Without a plan that separates essential income from market movements, retirement becomes a gamble on something completely outside your control.
The sequence of returns matters more than the average, and most retirement projections ignore this because they assume markets will behave nicely over time.
They don't account for what happens when the bad years come first.
What protects you isn't hoping for good timing.
It's building a structure that works even when timing is terrible... liquidity buffers so you're not forced to sell during crashes, income floors that cover essentials regardless of what markets do, a plan that gives you time to wait instead of forcing decisions in the worst possible moment.
Like & comment if you know someone who retired just before or after a crash and saw completely different outcomes π