06/02/2026
SpaceX is rumored to be going public in June, and a number of other companies with eye-popping valuations may follow later this year.
For many of us, the immediate emotion we experience hearing news like this is FOMO.
We want to buy in… often before we’ve really considered the price, the risk, or what we’re actually paying for.
That reaction is completely normal, but it may not be a great investment strategy.
Last week’s Barron’s issue did a deep dive on US IPO performance, and a few stats jumped off the page at me:
There were 1,724 U.S. IPOs from 2011–2024
They averaged a 23% “day one pop”
But over the following 3 years, they lagged the S&P 500 by an average of 25%
Even more interesting:
36 U.S. companies IPO’d at valuations above $15 billion over that stretch
Only 9 outperformed the S&P 500 after going public
Only 17 generated positive returns at all
META is a great example of how patience can matter more than excitement. Investors who bought Facebook at its IPO are up 1,474% today. But investors who waited just six months before buying are up 2,454%.
The hard part about investing isn’t usually finding great companies. It’s fighting the feeling that you need to own them immediately or just because everyone else does.
This is why having a financial plan with clearly defined goals is so important. It helps you keep your eye on the big picture, make decisions pragmatically, and keep your emotions out of the driver's seat.
Link to the full article here: https://bit.ly/4fULlnk
Disclosure: IPO performance varies widely, and past performance is not indicative of future results. For more information about Janney, please see Janney's Relationship Summary (Form CRS) at www.janney.com/crs which details all material facts about the scope and terms of our relationship with you and any potential conflicts of interest.