05/29/2026
Two retirees can average the exact same return.
One runs out of money.
The other doesn’t.
Here’s how this can happen.
Most people think retirement investing is all about the average return.
That's not always the case.
Imagine two retirees who both average 8% annually over retirement.
Sounds about the same, right?
Sometimes it is.
Sometimes it's not even close.
If Retiree A gets hit with bad markets in the first few years while simultaneously taking withdrawals, the damage can compound fast.
Because now they are selling investments while prices are down just to generate income.
Meanwhile, Retiree B (Maybe they retired 10 years earlier) experiences those same bad years later in retirement, after the portfolio already had time to grow.
Same average return.
But different outcomes.
That’s called sequence of returns risk.
And it’s one of the biggest reasons retirement planning is more than “pick good investments and hope.”
Withdrawal strategy matters.
Tax planning matters.
Cash reserves matter.
Flexibility matters.
The first 5 years of retirement can quietly shape the next 25.
Planning helps a lot with that.
If you’re within 5–10 years of retirement, I put together a guide called “Your First 90 Days to a Confident Retirement.”
Download it here: https://lewiswealthmanagementgroup.com/your-first-90-days-to-a-confident-retirement