ClearValue Investing

ClearValue Investing The official page for Clear Value Investing. A professional space for serious investors focused on stocks, precious metals, and macro trends.

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Japan’s 2-Year Government Bond yield has surged past 1.5%, reaching levels unseen since the late 1990s.Decades of zero a...
08/31/2026

Japan’s 2-Year Government Bond yield has surged past 1.5%, reaching levels unseen since the late 1990s.

Decades of zero and negative interest rates are officially history. As the Bank of Japan normalizes policy, the global yen carry trade faces sustained structural unwinding, pulling liquidity out of offshore risk assets.

How much global leverage gets repriced as Japanese capital heads home?

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08/29/2026

US public debt is racing toward $40 trillion.

It’s basic math: Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden all outspent their predecessor. Deficits are bipartisan. But flooding the market with endless Treasuries creates a huge dilemma: finding enough buyers willing to lend trillions to fund the gap.

Until spending slows, debt supply will continue to pressure bond markets.

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Heating oil prices are surging back toward $4.50, rebounding sharply from early summer lows.Refined product tightness an...
08/28/2026

Heating oil prices are surging back toward $4.50, rebounding sharply from early summer lows.

Refined product tightness and rising feedstock costs are fueling another leg up in energy. As seasonal winter demand approaches, energy-driven headline inflation risks reigniting just as markets price in policy easing.

Will stubborn energy costs derail the disinflation narrative?

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08/27/2026

The US is spending ~$7 trillion this year while collecting only ~$5 trillion in taxes.

It’s basic math: the government doesn’t own a money printer—the Federal Reserve does. To bridge that $2 trillion deficit, the Treasury must borrow every dollar from private investors and foreign nations.

Until spending slows or tax receipts surge, the debt pile keeps compounding.

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US Average Hourly Earnings growth has cooled from nearly 6.0% in 2022 down to the ~3.0% range.The labor market is losing...
08/26/2026

US Average Hourly Earnings growth has cooled from nearly 6.0% in 2022 down to the ~3.0% range.

The labor market is losing steam fast. While slower wage growth helps tame inflation, it also signals tightening consumer purchasing power and softening demand.

Is this the final stage of a soft landing, or the start of a broader consumer slowdown?

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08/25/2026

Why can't Japan simply hike interest rates to stop the yen carry trade?

It’s basic math: Japan’s debt-to-GDP sits at a staggering 250%. If the Bank of Japan aggressively hikes rates to close the yield gap with the US (1% vs 3.75%), government debt servicing costs will explode overnight.

Japan is essentially trapped: protect the currency, or protect the national budget.

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The US 10-Year Treasury yield is testing 4.7%, far from the sub-1% days of 2021.Zero-cost capital is officially over, an...
08/24/2026

The US 10-Year Treasury yield is testing 4.7%, far from the sub-1% days of 2021.

Zero-cost capital is officially over, and the discount rate on every major asset class is shifting fast.

Can high-multiple equities hold up under sustained 4.5%+ yields?

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08/22/2026

You don't need a huge starting budget or a perfect setup to build good financial habits.

If resources are tight, focus on what you can control: use flexible tools that fit your current balance, or hold cash reserves until you can take the next step.

Consistency matters far more than starting big.

How do you keep momentum when starting new financial habits?

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Ground beef prices in the U.S. just reached an all-time high of $6.82/lb.After averaging ~$3.70/lb pre-2020, ground beef...
08/21/2026

Ground beef prices in the U.S. just reached an all-time high of $6.82/lb.

After averaging ~$3.70/lb pre-2020, ground beef costs surged past $5.00/lb in 2023 and hit $6.80+ in 2026 driven by the smallest U.S. cattle herd in 75 years.

At these levels, are high grocery costs forcing you to adjust your everyday spending, or are consumers simply absorbing the higher prices?

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08/20/2026

VOO vs. SPY: Both hold 500 top U.S. companies, but they serve different goals:

• VOO (0.03% fee): Built for long-term investors. Lower fees mean more of your returns stay in your account to compound over decades.

• SPY (0.0945% fee): Built for massive liquidity. Higher volume and deeper options markets suit institutional managers.

Both track the same index, but lower fees keep more money compounding in your account over time.

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