10/26/2026
It’s not about if there will be a down market. In fact, it’s about when the down market happens that is one of the most underappreciated risks in retirement
Sequence of returns risk is the danger that market losses occur early in retirement, right when you're also making withdrawals from your portfolio. Even if the market eventually recovers, selling investments at depressed prices means less capital available to participate in that recovery. Over time, that can increase the risk of running out of money.
The good news? There are strategies designed specifically to address this.
The approach our team favors is the three-bucket approach. This is a framework that separates your retirement assets based on when you'll actually need them.
🪣 Bucket 1 is for short-term needs. It holds roughly 2–3 years of anticipated withdrawals in cash or conservative, liquid investments. When markets are down, you draw from this bucket, not from your long-term investments.
🪣 Bucket 2 is your intermediate layer. It's invested in a more income-oriented, balanced allocation, designed to provide moderate growth while managing volatility. As Bucket 1 gets drawn down, Bucket 2 is used to refill it over time.
🪣 Bucket 3 is your long-term growth engine. With greater equity exposure and a longer time horizon, these assets have the runway to ride out market downturns and potentially recover.
The objective is to create a disciplined withdrawal framework that reduces the likelihood of being forced to sell growth assets at the wrong time.
This structure can improve the durability of your retirement income and reduce the risk of depleting your assets too soon.
If you'd like to explore whether a bucket strategy makes sense for your retirement plan, reach out to a member of the SKG Team today.