07/01/2026
Dear Beavers Wealth Management Family & Friends,
June saw strong market fundamentals once again in conflict with macroeconomic uncertainties, creating a choppy market.
While a durable peace plan with Iran is seemingly underway, investors have regarded the negotiations with caution, pricing in potential setbacks. Oil prices have fallen sharply, but further declines will likely hinge on a meaningful recovery in oil supply from the Persian Gulf.
The first meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee under new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh saw the rate-setting group hold rates steady, seen as a renewed commitment to curbing creeping inflation. Earlier this year, rate cuts were anticipated. Now, rate hikes seem to be a distinct possibility. Treasury yields have largely tracked oil prices over the last few months but stayed elevated even as oil futures fell toward the end of the month.
Equity markets experienced a wave of rotation, with tech losses making way for gains in the financials, industrials, utilities and health care sectors. AI-related names gave back some of their gains on concerns over future AI spending, but optimism for tech among investors still endures with the sector up roughly 17% year-to-date.
For those looking to compare the rise of AI to the dotcom era, Raymond James CIO Larry Adam noted, “The momentum may rhyme, but the foundation is stronger, underscoring that today’s market leaders are supported by strong profitability, durable earnings growth, and better visibility than in prior periods, making this a fundamentally different backdrop than the speculative environment of the late 1990s.”
The bottom line
Although the economy is still deep in the fog of uncertainty regarding Iran and the consequences of those pressures on global energy markets, June's theme was resilience. Led by strong labor indicators and higher than expected earnings, US equities proved that even in the face of elevated oil prices and inflation, there is plenty of room for optimism.
We hope this update finds you well and if you have any questions, you will not hesitate to reach out at your earliest convenience.
Sincerely,
CHRISTOPHER BEAVERS, MBA, CRPC®, CPFA
Managing Director
Senior Vice President, Wealth Management
3230 Camp Bowie Blvd, Suite 400 | Fort Worth, TX 76107
T 817.720.1280 | D 817.720.1281 | F 833.281.8758
Investing involves risk, and investors may incur a profit or a loss. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the Raymond James Chief Investment Officer and are subject to change. There is no assurance the trends mentioned will continue or that the forecasts discussed will be realized. Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Economic and market conditions are subject to change. Diversification does not guarantee a profit nor protect against loss.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index of 30 widely held stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ National Stock Market. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index of 500 widely held stocks. The MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australasia and Far East) index is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of the international stock market. The Russell 2000 is an unmanaged index of small-cap securities. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index is a broad-based flagship benchmark that measures the investment grade, US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market. An investment cannot be made in these indexes. The performance mentioned does not include fees and charges, which would reduce an investor’s returns.
Companies engaged in business related to a specific sector, including the technology sector, are subject to fierce competition and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. There are additional risks associated with investing in an individual sector, including limited diversification. Bond prices and yields are subject to change based upon market conditions and availability. If bonds are sold prior to maturity, you may receive more or less than your initial investment. Income from municipal bonds is not subject to federal income taxation; however, it may be subject to state and local taxes and, for certain investors, to the alternative minimum tax. Income from taxable municipal bonds is subject to federal income taxation, and it may be subject to state and local taxes.
Investing in oil or the energy sector involves special risks, including the potential adverse effects of state and federal regulation and may not be suitable for all investors. Investing in small-cap stocks generally involves greater risks, and therefore, may not be appropriate for every investor. The prices of small company stocks may be subject to more volatility than those of large company stocks. International investing involves additional risks such as currency fluctuations, differing financial accounting standards, and possible political and economic instability. These risks are greater in emerging markets.
Material created by Raymond James for use by its advisors.