07/17/2026
📈 Top Charts from the First Half and Why the AI Wave Is Everywhere
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Key Takeaways:
▪️The first half of 2026 is officially in the books, and what a half it was: a war, an oil spike, a 9% pullback, and then a furious rally right back to new highs, leading to a 10.2% S&P 500 gain for the half.
▪️To mark the halfway point, some of the Carson Investment Research team picked their favorite chart from the first half and explained why, in their own words.
▪️The big themes: 2026 has traded like a typical President Trump year, the inflation problem has outgrown oil, the AI trade has migrated to memory, and software’s correlation with the S&P 500 has flipped negative.
▪️AI is no longer just a large cap growth story...it’s everywhere: value stocks, international stocks, and even small cap stocks.
▪️ If you take a look at small caps, we find AI exposure throughout the index, including the industrials sector, accounting for an estimated half of index returns despite only making up about a quarter of index weight.
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You can read the rest of this week's commentary on our website under Insights, Market and Investments
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