07/16/2026
I know this Tech sell off seems very brutal, especially if you are heavily invested in Tech, which is hard not to be because everything relies on Technology these days. But keep in mind the S&P 500 is only down 1.01% from the all-time high back on June 2. If you follow my posts, you know, I continue to buy Tech as we go down more and more. I may be wrong, but I'm betting my money and my family's money on my belief that Technology is not going away and stock prices will rebound. I wish I could tell you when, but I can't, but I believe they will come back up.
I have been investing, in individual stocks and Exchange Traded Funds (ETF's) for 18 years and the following are the data I watch in order to figure out if we are headed toward another recession:
1. I watch our inflation rate by keeping track of the CPI and the PPI.
2. I watch our unemployment percentage rate according to the monthly jobs report.
3. I watch our price of oil, per 55 gallon barrel.
4. I watch our S&P 500 P/E ratio, to see if it goes above 25.
5. I watch our S&P 500 and the speed of its decline.
6. I also now watch our 10 year bond interest rate, to see if it goes over 5%.
Not one of the above indicators are bad right now! I see no data that make me believe our stock market is headed toward another recession. Yes, we might see a 10% pull back, but those happen from time to time. I am not letting this Tech sell off make me panic and pull my money out of the market. I actually think we might be close to the bottom of this sell off! Remember, we are in earnings season and what better time is there for our market to turn around.
Today in my regular investment account, I added to my positions in SOXY, STX & TSM.
In my Roth IRA today, I added to my positions in AIFD, GLW, MYRG, POW, QTM, SOXL, SOXY & USD.