Dan Rawitch

Dan Rawitch Is the rebound of US stocks the starting point of a new round of growth, or a short-lived trap?

09/13/2025

The US stock market (as of September 12th) showed a divergent trend, with the Nasdaq performing relatively well and the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 experiencing slight fluctuations. The market is currently highly dependent on economic data and Federal Reserve policy signals, with particular attention focused on a possible September interest rate cut. In the long term, economic resilience, corporate profits, and investment in technologies like artificial intelligence are likely to provide support, but risks such as inflation and policy uncertainty warrant vigilance.

09/10/2025

🔥 Hot Stocks and Sectors
Stocks with Significant Gains:

Oracle (ORCL): Shares surged (up over 38% in midday trading) as its CEO stated that its cloud infrastructure business will expand rapidly in the coming years, with demand for AI servers driving significant growth in cloud revenue.

Nvidia (NVDA): Shares rose following the release of Rubin CPX, which will be available by the end of 2026.

AMD: As an AI-focused stock, it followed the overall sector's gains.

Other Fluctuating Stocks:

Synopsys: Q3 results and Q4 guidance fell short of expectations.

GameStop: Q2 revenue exceeded expectations.

Chewy: Q2 net profit declined significantly year-over-year.

Chinese Concept Stocks: Some Chinese Concept Stocks also performed well today.

🔮 Market Outlook and Focus
The market may focus on the following areas going forward:

Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Meeting: The market expects the Fed to decide on an interest rate cut at its September 17-18 meeting, which will be key to short-term market trends.

Economic Data: Tomorrow (September 11th) will release the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. This data, combined with the PPI, will provide a clearer picture of US inflation and significantly influence the Federal Reserve's decision-making.

Federal Reserve Independence: The court's final ruling on the fate of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook could spark market debate on central bank independence, impacting market sentiment.

09/10/2025

The U.S. stock market performed well overall (midday, September 10, Eastern Time), with technology stocks leading the gains. The Nasdaq Composite Index broke through the 22,000 point mark for the first time. The market was primarily boosted by an unexpected decline in the Producer Price Index (PPI), which reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, and strong earnings forecasts from companies like Oracle.

07/08/2025

The market is expected to improve.

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