07/18/2026
Bonds are back. And the data makes a compelling case for why they belong in your portfolio right now. π
For years, bonds offered very little income and limited protection. That has changed significantly. According to Capital Group, here is how today's bond market compares to 2022:
Yields are 2.7x higher: Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate now yields 4.67% vs. 1.75% in 2022
Less interest rate risk: duration has fallen by about one year, meaning bonds are less sensitive to rate moves
The Fed has 350 basis points more room to cut rates than in 2022, giving bonds far more cushion in the event of an equity sell-off
Starting yields of roughly 4.5% to 5% have historically been a reliable guide to future bond returns. That income also helps cushion portfolios during periods of market uncertainty.
This is a sharp contrast to 2022, when low yields and limited Fed flexibility meant bonds provided little protection when stocks fell hard. Today the setup is fundamentally more favorable.
At Arroyo Investment Group, we believe true diversification means giving every asset class the role it deserves when the fundamentals support it. Right now, bonds deserve a meaningful place in a balanced portfolio.
Source: Capital Group, Bloomberg. As of May 31, 2026.
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