02/01/2021
A question I like to pose when discussing the markets: “What is the single most important factor in determining whether markets rise or fall.” Is it earnings, housing, unemployment, GDP (gross domestic product), etc.? These fundamentals are undoubtedly important; however, one concept stands head and shoulders above everything else-supply and demand. If more folks are buying (demand), prices go up. If there are lots of people selling, prices will go down. This principle applies across the board, from stocks and bonds to houses, automobiles, etc. It seems almost too simple; however, this concept has been with us for a long time. And yes, even the same forces that move prices in the supermarket move the stock market. If more buyers are willing to buy than sellers willing to sell, prices go up. If there are more sellers than buyers, prices go down. An example, a company comes out with a new product that everyone thinks they need. That company’s stock price will go up due to demand created by this hot new product. Of course, if the product is a flop, the stock will probably go down due to less demand and more supply. Another example, a stock is trading around $10.00, and there are few buyers. The price falls to $8.00. All of a sudden, buying (demand) picks up. So the demand for our stock increased at a lower price.
For 2021, what is your method for screening and selecting investments? We have a rigorous process to run each asset at CWM before it is added to our portfolios. Stay tuned to our next market update, where we will delve more into what moves the market. Until then, stay safe!