08/07/2026
The economy lost 23,000 jobs in July. And the market went up.
S&P 500 up 0.4%. Nasdaq up nearly 1%. That seems backwards — but here’s exactly why it happened.
When jobs disappear, the market starts betting that the Federal Reserve is less likely to raise interest rates. Lower rate expectations mean cheaper borrowing. Cheaper borrowing pushes stock prices — especially tech — higher.
But here’s what matters more if you’re near retirement.
Treasury yields fell this morning. The 10-year Treasury dropped. The 2-year dropped even more. That’s the bond market signaling that rate hikes may be off the table — and cuts could eventually follow.
If you have CDs maturing soon, cash sitting on the sideline, or a conservative portfolio built around fixed income — that signal matters. The window to lock in today’s rates may be shorter than you think.
Bad news for jobs. Potentially good news for rates. For retirees and those approaching retirement, that changes the math.
🔗 Link in bio to schedule a discovery call.
Disclosure:
Global Hill Wealth Advisors LLC Registered Investment Adviser in the State of Connecticut · This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market data sourced from AP, Yahoo Finance, and Bloomberg as of August 7, 2026.