Raoul Schneider at Ameriprise Financial

Raoul Schneider at Ameriprise Financial I’m not only in the business of helping you pursue your wealth. I’m also in the business of helping you grow your financial confidence in the future. I’ll

personal and business financial advisor

07/10/2017

Renewed interest in technology shares
pushed major indexes higher. Bank of
Japan's offer last week to buy an unlimited
amount of bonds pushed the yen lower
against the dollar. Treasury yields slipped
as investors consolidated positions. Oil
rose modestly and gold edged up in
choppy trade.

07/06/2017

Weak U.S. labor market data, affirming a
gradual pace of interest rate hikes by the
Federal Reserve, pulled Wall Street and
the greenback lower. Most Treasury
yields rose as traders digested a hawkish
global central bank mood and on concerns
that rising oil prices could spur inflationary
pressures. Spot gold edged lower.

06/21/2017

As the book closes on the first half of the year, prices in the stock market reflect a healthy degree of optimism. Though broad equity and fixed income benchmarks are higher across several categories year-to-date, market leadership has come from a few unexpected sectors.

Markets overcome Washington drama to sit near all-time highs

The political drama out of Washington and the slower than expected pace of fiscal stimulus and reform has weighed on stock prices for small-caps, financials, industrials and materials. Many of these equity sectors trail the broader S&P 500 Index so far this year. Although materials and financial sectors have experienced better pricing trends in June, the investor sentiment that drove these stocks higher post-election has faded.

The precipitous decline in the U.S. dollar since its January high is also a reminder that the U.S. economy will have difficulty transcending its long-term rate of growth. I expect the U.S. economy to grow 2.0% to 2.5% in 2017. In a “not-too-hot, not-too-cold” economic environment, faster growing areas of the economy have quickly come back in vogue for investors.

Big differences in sector performance

Stocks within the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors have propelled markets higher this year. While just a handful of stocks in each sector are responsible for the year’s large price gains, I believe broader earnings growth trends across tech and consumer discretionary are supportive of current market valuations. And though valuations may appear stretched in some cyclical sectors, price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios appear reasonable relative to current interest rates and inflation.

Conversely, falling oil prices have sent energy stocks on a downward spiral. Despite OPEC extending its nearly two million barrels per day production cut through the second quarter of 2018 and improved corporate earnings, energy stocks have been the most unloved sector of 2017.

The combination of the Fed’s slow and steady approach to raising interest rates as well as broad domestic indices hitting new all-time highs has given a boost to interest rate sensitive and defensive sectors. With the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield sitting near lows for the year, prices of utilities and consumer staples stocks drifted higher. Investment grade and high yield bond prices have advanced as well.

A closer look at global markets

Importantly, investors appear to be taking a more global view and I believe that trend may continue. Several European and Asian stock indices are materially outperforming the U.S. in 2017, even though politics and debt issues continue to muddy the generally favorable economic environment. Though election results in France offset populist trends, UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s decision to hold a snap election this month backfired.

May was hoping the election would strengthen the United Kingdom’s position heading into Brexit and help form a more unified front when negotiating with the European Union. Following the results, the UK government is now more divided and faces potential instability heading into Brexit negotiations.

Nevertheless, economic news in Europe and through parts of Asia is trending in the right direction, while stock prices in these regions are less expensive compared to the U.S. Earnings in Europe as well as Japan are growing, and monetary policy is expected to remain accommodative through the rest of the year. In my research team’s opinion, taking a global approach helps diversify portfolios and could benefit investors during the second half of the year.

Are current stock prices justified?

I believe the primary theme driving asset prices higher has been the improvement in corporate and economic fundamentals such as earnings growth. If this theme continues as expected, then current equity prices are justified. With that said, investors should maintain balance across their portfolios and not be shocked if equity prices have more difficulty reaching new highs in the immediate future.

06/16/2017

Yesterday, indexes fell as technology shares extended
their recent selloff. The prospect of tighter
monetary policy in the United States after
upbeat economy data pushed up the
dollar and boosted Treasury yields, while
gold dropped. Oil remained under
pressure from global oversupply concerns.

06/07/2017

U.S. stock index futures were trading slightly higher as focus remains on a trio of major events scheduled for Thursday. Investors are cautious ahead of Britain’s election, the European Central Bank’s policy decision and former FBI director James Comey’s testimony to the U.S. Senate. Financial shares helped European markets to record some gains after Spain’s biggest bank Santander rescued struggling rival Banco Popular in a first use of a regime to deal with failing banks adopted after the 2008 financial crisis. Asian markets ended the day on a mixed note. Oil prices slipped on renewed concerns about the efficacy of OPEC-led production cuts in containing global supply glut. Gold prices retreated from a near seven-month high that it touched in the previous session.

06/06/2017

World stocks fell and U.S. stock index futures pointed to a lower start for Wall Street as tension in the Middle East, an election in Britain and upcoming testimony from the former head of the FBI pushed investors away from risky assets. The dollar fell to its lowest level against a basket of major currencies since the November U.S. election, while gold strengthened. Oil prices slipped further below $50 a barrel on concerns that a diplomatic rift between Qatar and several Arab states including Saudi Arabia could undermine efforts by OPEC to tighten the market.

06/05/2017

JUST ONCE BEFORE - The ongoing bull market for the
S&P 500 stock index will reach 99 months in length (i.e.,
8 years and 3 months) as of the close of trading this
Friday 6/09/17. The stock market advance is just the 2nd
bull out of 11 total bulls since 1950 to reach 99 months in
length. The S&P 500 consists of 500 stocks chosen for
market size, liquidity and industry group representation. It
is a market value weighted index with each stock's weight
in the index proportionate to its market value (source: BTN
Research).

06/02/2017

Wall Street looked set to follow global markets higher as upbeat U.S. economic data allayed concerns over growth ahead of payrolls figures due out later in the day. Non-farm payrolls probably increased by 185,000 jobs last month, according to a Reuters survey of economists, after surging 211,000 in April. The dollar strengthened against a basket of currencies on expectations of an interest rate hike this month, while gold remained under pressure. Oil prices slumped as investors feared that U.S. President Donald Trump's decision to abandon a global climate pact will spark more crude drilling in the United States, worsening a global supply glut

05/17/2017
05/15/2017

ESTATE PLANNING: AN INTRODUCTION

By definition, estate planning is a process designed to help you manage and preserve your assets while you are alive, and to conserve and control their distribution after your death according to your goals and objectives. But what estate planning means to you specifically depends on who you are. Your age, health, wealth, lifestyle, life stage, goals, and many other factors determine your particular estate planning needs. For example, you may have a small estate and may be concerned only that certain people receive particular things. A simple will is probably all you'll need. Or, you may have a large estate, and minimizing any potential estate tax impact is your foremost goal. Here, you'll need to use more sophisticated techniques in your estate plan, such as a trust.

To help you understand what estate planning means to you, the following sections address some estate planning needs that are common among some very broad groups of individuals. Think of these suggestions as simply a point in the right direction, and then seek professional advice to implement the right plan for you

Over 18

Since incapacity can strike anyone at anytime, all adults over 18 should consider having:
•A durable power of attorney: This document lets you name someone to manage your property for you in case you become incapacitated and cannot do so.
•An advance medical directive: The three main types of advance medical directives are (1) a living will, (2) a durable power of attorney for health care (also known as a health-care proxy), and (3) a Do Not Resuscitate order. Be aware that not all states allow each kind of medical directive, so make sure you execute one that will be effective for you.

Young and single

If you're young and single, you may not need much estate planning. But if you have some material possessions, you should at least write a will. If you don't, the wealth you leave behind if you die will likely go to your parents, and that might not be what you would want. A will lets you leave your possessions to anyone you choose (e.g., your significant other, siblings, other relatives, or favorite charity).

Unmarried couples

You've committed to a life partner but aren't legally married. For you, a will is essential if you want your property to pass to your partner at your death. Without a will, state law directs that only your closest relatives will inherit your property, and your partner may get nothing. If you share certain property, such as a house or car, you may consider owning the property as joint tenants with rights of survivorship. That way, when one of you dies, the jointly held property will pass to the surviving partner automatically.

Married couples

For many years, married couples had to do careful estate planning, such as the creation of a credit shelter trust, in order to take advantage of their combined federal estate tax exclusions. For decedents dying in 2011 and later years, the executor of a deceased spouse's estate can transfer any unused estate tax exclusion amount to the surviving spouse without such planning.

You may be inclined to rely on these portability rules for estate tax avoidance, using outright bequests to your spouse instead of traditional trust planning. However, portability should not be relied upon solely for utilization of the first to die's estate tax exclusion, and a credit shelter trust created at the first spouse's death may still be advantageous for several reasons:

•Portability may be lost if the surviving spouse remarries and is later widowed again
•The trust can protect any appreciation of assets from estate tax at the second spouse's death
•The trust can provide protection of assets from the reach of the surviving spouse's creditors
•Portability does not apply to the generation-skipping transfer (GST) tax, so the trust may be needed to fully leverage the GST exemptions of both spouses

Married couples where one spouse is not a U.S. citizen have special planning concerns. The marital deduction is not allowed if the recipient spouse is a non-citizen spouse (but a $149,000 annual exclusion, for 2017, is allowed). If certain requirements are met, however, a transfer to a qualified domestic trust (QDOT) will qualify for the marital deduction.

Married with children

If you're married and have children, you and your spouse should each have your own will. For you, wills are vital because you can name a guardian for your minor children in case both of you die simultaneously. If you fail to name a guardian in your will, a court may appoint someone you might not have chosen. Furthermore, without a will, some states dictate that at your death some of your property goes to your children and not to your spouse. If minor children inherit directly, the surviving parent will need court permission to manage the money for them.

You may also want to consult an attorney about establishing a trust to manage your children's assets in the event that both you and your spouse die at the same time.

You may also need life insurance. Your surviving spouse may not be able to support the family on his or her own and may need to replace your earnings to maintain the family.

Comfortable and looking forward to retirement

If you're in your 30s, you may be feeling comfortable. You've accumulated some wealth and you're thinking about retirement. Here's where estate planning overlaps with retirement planning. It's just as important to plan to care for yourself during your retirement as it is to plan to provide for your beneficiaries after your death. You should keep in mind that even though Social Security may be around when you retire, those benefits alone may not provide enough income for your retirement years. Consider saving some of your accumulated wealth using other retirement and deferred vehicles, such as an individual retirement account (IRA).

Wealthy and worried

Depending on the size of your estate, you may need to be concerned about estate taxes.

For 2017, $5,490,000 is effectively excluded from the federal gift and estate tax. Estates over that amount may be subject to the tax at a top rate of 40 percent.

Similarly, there is another tax, called the generation-skipping transfer (GST) tax, that is imposed on transfers of wealth made to grandchildren (and lower generations). For 2017, the GST tax exemption is also $5,490,000, and the top tax rate is 40 percent.

Whether your estate will be subject to state death taxes depends on the size of your estate and the tax laws in effect in the state in which you are domiciled.

Elderly or ill

If you're elderly or ill, you'll want to write a will or update your existing one, consider a revocable living trust, and make sure you have a durable power of attorney and a health-care directive. Talk with your family about your wishes, and make sure they have copies of your important papers or know where to locate them.

05/11/2017

U.S. department stores Macy's Inc, Kohl's
Corp and Nordstrom Inc are expected to
report their first-quarter results. The
companies are struggling with falling sales
amid growing competition and have
resorted to cut costs through store
closures, selling or leasing their real estate
and keeping inventory levels low. Macy's
and Kohl's have forecast comparable sales
to fall this year, while Nordstrom is
expecting flat comparable sales.

G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank
Governors will start their three-day summit
in Bari, Italy. The focus is likely to be on
discussing growth and inequality, security
as a 'global public good', international
taxation, and international financial
institutions' coordination. U.S. Treasury
Secretary Steven Mnuchin is expected to
brief his G7 counterparts on the Trump
administration's still-emerging plans to
revamp the U.S. tax code with major cuts
for businesses, review the Dodd-Frank
financial reform law, invest in
infrastructure, and ease business
regulatory burdens.

New applications for U.S. jobless benefits
increased to 245,000 last week from
238,000 the week before, a U.S. Labor
Department report is expected to show. In
a separate report, the Labor Department's
producer price index is forecast
rebounding 0.2 percent in April after a 0.1
percent drop in March.

05/09/2017

The S&P 500 slipped after rising to an
intra-day record high, while Apple became
the first ever U.S. company to close with a
market capitalization above $800 billion.
The dollar soared against the yen on an
improved risk appetite. Growing U.S.
corporate bond supply and soft results at
three-year auction pushed Treasury yields
higher. Oil prices fell, rattled by concern
over slowing demand and rising U.S. crude
output. Gold fell on fading safe-haven
demands

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