08/27/2026
Two retirees can earn the same average return and end up in completely different places.
In retirement, timing matters as much as the average.
An early downturn does more damage than the same downturn later. That's sequence-of-returns risk.
The risk isn't "the market went down." It's "the market went down while income still had to come out."
A real retirement strategy looks past average returns and answers:
-Where income comes from
-How much cash or short-term reserves make sense
-Which accounts to draw from first
-When to rebalance
-How RMDs and Social Security fit the withdrawal plan
Sequence-of-returns risk doesn't make headlines. For anyone about to retire, it's one of the most important things to understand.
The goal isn't predicting the next downturn. It's being ready for one.